First, consider whether or not that sleek bundle of metal and silicon you're eyeing is even something you need. Sure, the new models are shiny and pretty and hold great promises of improved power and additional features your current laptop doesn't have. But consider this: as time goes on, the same money gets you more laptop, or the same power and features gets cheaper. The longer you hold on to the laptop you have, the more bang you'll get for your buck when you finally upgrade.
Consider what you do with your current laptop, and what you'd like to do. If your current model still works properly, runs all the apps you want to run well enough, and accesses all the services you want without problems, you might as well stick with it. The right time to get a new system is when you notice your needs have changed and your current laptop no longer meets those needs. Maybe you bought a heavier laptop because you rarely travel, but find yourself in a new job or position that requires lots of travel. Now, your laptop's weight and limited battery life are a constant source of frustration. Perhaps the games you played two years ago ran fine on your laptop, but modern games don't, and gaming is a big part of your laptop use. Maybe web services have evolved beyond your laptop's capabilities, and hi-def YouTube clips (for instance) stutter and chop, forcing you to view the lower-resolution version.
Obviously, if your laptop no longer works properly, is beyond warranty, and it will cost more to repair than it's really worth, you're better off buying something new. If that's the case, or if you find your needs have outgrown your current laptop, it's time to start shopping.
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